
Indonesia just hosted the third Asean annual meeting of sharia economic experts in Jakarta, raising the question as to where sharia banking is going and how to avoid the heady heights of high finance that brought down banks in the West.
Or will shariah banking fly too high and make the same mistakes?
Understandably Syafi Antonio (pic right), CEO of the Tazkia Group, wants sharia banking to go global.
"To develop the sharia financial system, we have to go global. And for that we need to secure our transactions under sharia law," he said.
So the meeting discussed the idea of sharia-compliant currency-exchange swaps and the possibility of a single Islamic currency to back trade.
However, this involves precisely the areas of derivatives, hedging and collateralisation which caused problems for conventional banks during and after the October 2008 crash and complex concepts like simultaneous term and reverse back-to-back murabaha to try to avoid riba (interest), gharar (uncertainty of value of underlying assets) or maisir (speculation).
The full complexities of secondary (reverse) murabaha and full cross-currency swap structures have been described by Richard Tredgett of Allen and Overy and published in the financial press, for example in Derivatives Week, along with advanced hedging mechanisms and profit-rate swaps, total return swaps and fund/index linked derivatives.
But given the reservations felt by many Asean conventional and Islamic bankers about such financial instruments since the October 2008 crash in the United States and Europe, is |this the sort of thing we should prioritise when promoting |the capacity of Asean Islamic banks and financial institutions?
Antonio acknowledged in |the same meeting that the Indonesian government would need to treat sharia banking in Indonesia as an infant industry for at least 10 years.
The third Asean annual meeting attracted participants from six countries: Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. All of these countries are developing Islamic banking and finance.
There is also an interest in sharia banking in Cambodia and Burma, both of which have Muslim minorities. Muslim firms and traders are also active in Laos and Vietnam.
So everybody in Asean can benefit from Islamic banking and finance, which should be regarded as an ambassador of Muslim modernisation and a vehicle for economic and social development, in line with the aspirations of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference and the World Islamic Economic Forum.
The disparities between Malaysian Islamic banking and finance, as well as the comparative state of development of Indonesia and most Asean countries, highlights that as yet there is no realistic strategy where sharia banking can reach adequate financial volume and significant market penetration in most Asean countries.
Muliaman Muliaman D Hadad, deputy director of the central bank, recently underlined to an Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Kadin) seminar in Jakarta that the country's sharia banking industry had almost no chance of expanding capital deployment from 3 per cent of national banking capital to the target of 5 per cent without more capital, more people and a new strategy including lending to corporations and not just SMEs.
This could be built on four pillars: a broad individual customer base including lending to small lenders; expansion of corporate lending in high-growth and labour-intensive sectors; private-sector bonds for company expansion and small infrastructure; and large-volume Islamic bonds to finance state-budget deficits and large infrastructure.
All this requires big increases in capital and capacity to handle clients, corporates, public-private partnerships and projects.
Only Malaysia, a decade in front of the pack, has anything like this delivery capacity, while Singapore and Brunei can take a different path, focusing on building regional financing partnership hubs with their high capital resources and low populations.
Asean should therefore focus on building Islamic banking and finance on strong foundations and not waste time and energy on the sharia banking and finance equivalent of rocket technology. You do not need to be a rocket scientist to work out that what Asean sharia banking needs first is its feet on the ground and much stronger foundations.
(From The Nation - Thailand)